Gas Prices

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg

Thursday, 22 August 2013

Dear Kevin Drum, CNN Money, CNBC, ABC News, Huffington Post, and AP: No, household income does not equal "compensation" or "earnings"

Posted on 11:01 by Unknown

- by New Deal democrat

If you were wondering why I spent so much time and effort researching the the "median wage " and "median income" question, Kevin Drum becomes the latest economic observer to conflate the two, reprinting Sentier Research's latest graph of household income with the observation that
median household income today isn't just below the level of 2007, it's below the level of 2000. If you add in health benefits, the picture is brighter, but only modestly: Total household compensationtoday is still below its level in 2000 even when you count healthcare premiums. We are now well into our second decade of flat incomes for the non-rich.
[my emphasis]

As I showed last week, household income includes things like interest, and it's decline from both 2007 and indeed 2000 is almost completely accounted for by Baby Boomer retirements and the decline in the labor force itself. Wages are higher than they were in 2000, equal to what they were in 2007, and about 2% to 3% below their level of 2009 due to the effects of $3+ gasoline feeding through into the general economy.

The conflation of these two metrics is obviously endemic. Drum's error was repeated as fact in the blog Prairie Weather. But I intend to continue to point it out.

Update:Doug Short does his usual terrific work on this issue. If you haven't already, you should add him to your reading list. Here's a chart from his latest:



Take a look at what the Boomer cohort is doing to the age 55 through 74 cohorts, and take a look at the median income for those cohorts compared with younger working age cohorts.

UPDATE 2: And the Huffington Post and ABC News also repeated the error. It looks like all of these erroneous comflations began with an AP report that started: "The average American household is earning less than when the Great Recession ended four years ago, according to a report released Wednesday."

Kudos to the New York Times, which avoided the error.

UPDATE 3: This is from the Sentier report itself (pdf):
The decline in real median annual household income for households with an unemployed householder far exceeded that of any other subgroup. Median income for households with an unemployed householder declined by 21.0 percent, from $41,806 to $33,036, during the post-recessionary period. This decline reflects, in part, the continued high number of long-term unemployed. In contrast, the median income for households with a working householder declined by only 4.1 percent, from $71,191 to $68,275.
In other words, once you strip out "an unemployed householder" (they don't define how that applies in dual-income households), the decline is very close to that of wages alone. The report does not directly address the issue about Boomer retirements.

UPDATE 4: Add CNN Money to the list of media that completely got the facts wrong. Their story reads:
The nation may be in better economic shape, but that doesn't mean Americans' paychecks are. Median annual household income has fallen
EVERY SINGLE COMMENTER at these outlets, from what I have read of them, thinks that that the Sentier report is about wages.

UPDATE 5: CNBC copies and pastes the AP misreporting as well. Shouldn't a network that devotes itself to business know better?
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to Facebook
Posted in | No comments
Newer Post Older Post Home

0 comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • Median family income continued stagnation in 2012
    - by New Deal democrat Berkeley Professors Saez and Piketty have updated their work on family income in the US through 2012, making use o...
  • Initial claims last week ex-California computer glitch ~327,000
    - by New Deal democrat Computer issues in California continue to bedevil the weekly initial jobless claims reports. We can make a good es...
  • Oil Becoming Potential Major Economic Threat
    Oil is quickly becoming a potential major threat to the economy. Oil hit resistance at the 98 level five times during the first half of 2013...
  • An NDD holiday special: semi-healthy pecan pie with maple, caramel, and peanut butter
     - by New Deal democrat My mom made a  terrific pecan pie.  Unfortunately, most pecan pie recipes basically consist of corn syrup, sugar, an...
  • Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
    I'll be back on Monday; NDD will be here over the weekend.
  • A thought for Sunday: an undemocratically elected minority of anarchists
    - by New Deal democrat An old cynical political saw says that, "in a democracy, people get the government they deserve." As it ...
  • Why even debating breaching the debt ceiling is a Big F*g Deal: a nonpartisan note
    - by New Deal democrat Regardless of your politics, you should care very much not just whether or not we actually fail to increase the deb...
  • The Rising Yuan And Slowing Chinese Growth
    Above is a weekly chart of the yuan ETF over a three year period.  In the 2H09 and most of 2010 we see a relative level of stability, save f...
  • No Commodity Based Inflation in the Works
    Above is a weekly chart of the overall commodity index for the last three years.  While heavily weighted towards oil, other commodities are ...
  • 2014 forecast: a year of deceleration
       - by  New Deal democrat My method of foecasting is pretty simple. In fact, so simple, I call it the K.I.S.S. method. Even though the LEI ...

Categories

  • Australia
  • Auto
  • Brazil
  • Canada
  • Chile
  • China
  • CPI
  • employment
  • Europe
  • GDP
  • Germany
  • India
  • Investment
  • ism manufacturing
  • ISM Service
  • Japan
  • Mexico
  • PCE
  • Peru
  • PPI
  • UK

Blog Archive

  • ►  2014 (7)
    • ►  January (7)
  • ▼  2013 (293)
    • ►  December (54)
    • ►  November (38)
    • ►  October (58)
    • ►  September (79)
    • ▼  August (64)
      • Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
      • Australian Economy Continues to "Moderate"
      • Coincident indicators stalled in July
      • Yen Devaluation Starting to Pay Dividends With Inc...
      • Brazil Raises Rates 50 Basis Points
      • Consumers Finally Realize CNBC (and Larry Kudlow) ...
      • Three Four Important Points From Revised 2d Quarte...
      • A Long-Term View of the Japanese ETF
      • Will Emerging Market's Sliding Currency Become an ...
      • Fundamental And Technical Events Leading To Potent...
      • Mexican Economy Slowing
      • August consumer inflation rate probably +0.1%
      • I do not think these graphs are a coincidence
      • Are We Closer to Recession Than We Think?
      • Market/Economic Analysis: US
      • Weekly indicators: Steel production debuts, plus, ...
      • Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
      • Food CPI Contained
      • More Downward Pressure On Grain Proces Likely
      • Dear Kevin Drum, CNN Money, CNBC, ABC News, Huffin...
      • Interest rates in disinflationary vs deflationary ...
      • Consumers Are Spending More on Durable Goods This ...
      • Indian Situation Continues To Deteriorate
      • Nancy Folbre pre-buts Paul Krugman on math and trade
      • The oil choke collar and wages
      • Developing Market Currencies Dropping Sharply
      • Oil Is Consolidating Recent Gains
      • Three ways to look at interest rates
      • The Case Against Larry Summers As Fed Chair
      • SPYs Beating BRICs in Return
      • Should Industrial Production and Capacity Utilizat...
      • Market/Economic Analysis: US
      • Weekly Indicators: Jobless claims, consumer spendi...
      • Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
      • The truth about the decline in real median househo...
      • Market/Economic Analysis: Emerging Economies
      • Is the EU Recession Really Almost Over?
      • Thoughts On All Things Economic
      • The Developed World Is Leading the Developing World
      • Will The Wealth Effect Lead to Increased US Consum...
      • Mexico to Liberalize Oil Industry
      • Oil Is Still Trading At Elevated Levels
      • Market/Economic Overview: US
      • Dear Credit Writedowns: No, No, No, No, No!
      • Weekly indicators: consumer spending breaks on th...
      • Weekend Weimar, Beagle and Pit Bull
      • US GDP Growth Since 2009; Investment
      • An Overview Of the World Economic Situation
      • Will the Second Half Print Strong Growth?
      • Market/Econoimc Analysis: India; Still in Question...
      • Headline of the day
      • US GDP Growth Since June 2009; PCEs
      • The Rising Yuan And Slowing Chinese Growth
      • Market/Economic Analysis: Australia Stabilizing At...
      • Oil Remains Elevated
      • Yes the Sequester and Federal Policy Is Hurting Gr...
      • Debunking the "we're only creating part time jobs"...
      • Market/Economic Analysis: Is the EU Recession Ending?
      • Random Thoughts On the Employment Report and the E...
      • The Economic Stupidity of Ed Morissey and Hot Air ...
      • Seniors in the workforce: it's primarily about lo...
      • Market/Economic Analysis: US; A Mixed Bag Of News
      • Weekly Indicators: still all about interest rates,...
      • It's the Weekend.
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

Unknown
View my complete profile